Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 30/07, 10:30
Prediction: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Francesca Curmi
Team pages: Carmen Gallardo Guevara · Francesca Curmi
Prediction summary
Winner
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Francesca Curmi
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
5-5 (W-L)
Francesca Curmi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carmen Gallardo Guevara 1573 · Francesca Curmi 1596
| Carmen Gallardo Guevara | Francesca Curmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carmen Gallardo Guevara | Francesca Curmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9 | 10.4-7.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Matilde Jorge W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Kristina Novak W15 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Shannon Lam W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucia Natal W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Carlotta Moccia W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Elyse Tse W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Maxine Murphy W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Sana Garakani W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Francisca Jorge W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Pia Lovric W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Xinxin Yao W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Fernanda Labrana W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Francesca Curmi?
Our model gives 69% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.