Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 31/07, 10:00
Prediction: Arantxa Rus vs Dominika Salkova
Team pages: Arantxa Rus · Dominika Salkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Arantxa Rus
Dominika Salkova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Arantxa Rus
7-3 (W-L)
Dominika Salkova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arantxa Rus 1541 · Dominika Salkova 1545
| Arantxa Rus | Dominika Salkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dominika Salkova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Arantxa Rus | Dominika Salkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.3 | 11.3-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arantxa Rus
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonie Rabl WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sarah Van Emst W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Dominika Salkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Lea Boskovic W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Denisa Zoldakova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Caroline Werner WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Iryna Shymanovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arantxa Rus vs Dominika Salkova?
Our model gives 55% to Dominika Salkova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.