Tennis · M15 Wels · 30/07, 10:00

Prediction: Marcello Serafini vs John Hallquist Lithen

Team pages: Marcello Serafini · John Hallquist Lithen

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Marcello Serafini John Hallquist Lithen
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Marcello Serafini 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLLL
John Hallquist Lithen 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marcello Serafini 1499 · John Hallquist Lithen 1488
Marcello SerafiniJohn Hallquist Lithen
Our model52%48%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Marcello Serafini makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Marcello SerafiniJohn Hallquist Lithen
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.51-1.1
Games (G-P)12.4-13.810.1-9.2
Aces2.10.7
Double faults4.61.3
1st serve %65.2%61.9%
Break %45.4%46.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marcello Serafini

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Alexander Gschiel
M15 Wels
2-1 19-17 W
16/07 Pierluigi Basile
M15 Gubbio
1-2 12-16 L
14/07 Gian Marco Ortenzi
M15 Gubbio
2-1 12-10 W
08/07 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Lodz
0-2 7-13 L
26/06 Giovanni Oradini
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
25/06 Louis Larue
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 19-19 W
23/06 Henry Bernet
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 15-12 W
17/06 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
16/06 Manuel Mazza
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-1 19-14 W
04/06 Alberto Barroso Campos
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

John Hallquist Lithen

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Jan Kobierski
M15 Wels
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Yannik Kelm
M25 Metzingen
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Michael Gloeckler
M15 Nova Gorica
2-1 16-13 W
25/06 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Niklas Waldner
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
19/06 Khumoyun Sultanov
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
18/06 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
17/06 Piet Luis Pinter
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
10/06 Aristotelis Thanos
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
26/05 Karl Friberg
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marcello Serafini vs John Hallquist Lithen?

Our model gives 51% to John Hallquist Lithen, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.