Tennis · M15 Wels · 29/07, 10:00

Prediction: Adam Jilly vs Michael Gloeckler

Team pages: Adam Jilly · Michael Gloeckler

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Adam Jilly Michael Gloeckler
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Jilly 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWWLWLL
Michael Gloeckler 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adam Jilly 1506 · Michael Gloeckler 1461
Adam JillyMichael Gloeckler
Our model56%44%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adam Jilly (rating 1506 vs 1461).
  • Note: Adam Jilly makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Adam JillyMichael Gloeckler
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-10.8-1.6
Games (G-P)10.3-8.810.3-13.2
Aces3.82.2
Double faults43.2
1st serve %71.5%62.6%
Break %29.8%59.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adam Jilly

WLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Matic Hribar
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 7-12 L
02/07 Luca Wiedenmann
M15 Store
1-2 14-16 L
01/07 Melvin Kumar
M15 Store
2-0 13-6 W
27/06 Vlad Cristian Breazu
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
25/06 Charlie Swaine
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Norbert Marosik
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
22/06 Botond Kisantal
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 John Sperle
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/06 Aron Janos Major
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
10/06 Nikita Belozertsev
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Michael Gloeckler

LLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Thilo Behrmann
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 7-13 L
15/07 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Nova Gorica
1-2 13-16 L
01/07 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Store
1-2 13-18 L
23/06 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
20/05 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Litija · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/05 Romeo Spinolo
M15 Litija · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W
05/05 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/05 Lorenzo Bocchi
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
01/05 Karim Ibrahim
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
30/04 Andrea Fiorentini
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adam Jilly vs Michael Gloeckler?

Our model gives 64% to Adam Jilly, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.