Tennis · M25 Aldershot · 30/07, 11:00
Prediction: Giulio Perego vs Tiago Cacao
Team pages: Giulio Perego · Tiago Cacao
Prediction summary
Winner
Giulio Perego
Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Giulio Perego
3-7 (W-L)
Tiago Cacao
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giulio Perego 1494 · Tiago Cacao 1560
| Giulio Perego | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Cacao (rating 1494 vs 1560).
- Tiago Cacao is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Giulio Perego | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.3 | 13.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giulio Perego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | James Beaven M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Orel Kimhi M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Andreas Timini M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Hugo Pierre M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | James Beaven M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alexandre Reco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Oscar Brown M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Francisco Rocha M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Karan Singh M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giulio Perego vs Tiago Cacao?
Our model gives 69% to Tiago Cacao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.