Tennis · M25 Aldershot · 31/07, 12:30
Prediction: Billy Blaydes vs Tiago Cacao
Team pages: Billy Blaydes · Tiago Cacao
Prediction summary
Winner
Billy Blaydes
Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Billy Blaydes
8-2 (W-L)
Tiago Cacao
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Billy Blaydes 1535 · Tiago Cacao 1616
| Billy Blaydes | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Cacao (rating 1535 vs 1616).
Statistics
| Billy Blaydes | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.9-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.4 | 14-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 59.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Billy Blaydes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | William Jansen M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Lui Maxted M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Freddie Ridout M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Anuj Watane M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Gawad El Feky M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Yash Chaurasia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Paul Inchauspe M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Giulio Perego M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Oscar Brown M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Francisco Rocha M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Karan Singh M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Billy Blaydes vs Tiago Cacao?
Our model gives 62% to Tiago Cacao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.