Tennis · W15 Astana · 30/07, 08:30

Prediction: Maria Sholokhova vs Ha Eum Lee

Team pages: Maria Sholokhova · Ha Eum Lee

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Maria Sholokhova Ha Eum Lee
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Sholokhova 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWLW
Ha Eum Lee 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Sholokhova 1570 · Ha Eum Lee 1509
Maria SholokhovaHa Eum Lee
Our model59%41%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Sholokhova (rating 1570 vs 1509).
  • Note: Maria Sholokhova makes many double faults (7.3/match).

Statistics

Maria SholokhovaHa Eum Lee
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.61.2-0.9
Games (G-P)10.7-7.59.8-9.4
Aces1.20.7
Double faults7.33.5
1st serve %63.8%59.4%
Break %58.4%51.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Sholokhova

WWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Sabrina Olimjanova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-1 W
18/07 Ekaterina Tupitsyna
W15 Astana
0-1 2-6 L
17/07 Ekaterina Maklakova
W15 Astana
2-0 13-9 W
16/07 Yashaswini Panwar
W15 Astana
2-0 13-7 W
15/07 Kira Bataikina
W15 Astana
2-0 12-6 W
11/07 Ekaterina Maklakova
W15 Astana
0-2 9-12 L
10/07 Kristina Kroitor
W15 Astana
2-0 12-1 W
09/07 Sera Nishimoto
W15 Astana
2-0 12-8 W
11/06 Piper Charney
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Anna Rogers
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W

Ha Eum Lee

LLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Aruzhan Sagandikova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Seo Yun Choi
W15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
15/07 Alisa Ziatdinova
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 JiaYi Wang
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
02/07 Shiyu Ye
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
01/07 Jiyun Oh
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Dayeon Back
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/05 Dabin Kim
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
22/05 Arina Varaksina
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/05 Hanna Chang
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
1-0 10-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Sholokhova vs Ha Eum Lee?

Our model gives 68% to Maria Sholokhova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.