Tennis · W75 Lexington · 30/07, 15:00
Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Kylie Collins
Team pages: Malaika Rapolu · Kylie Collins
Prediction summary
Winner
Malaika Rapolu
Kylie Collins
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu
8-2 (W-L)
Kylie Collins
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Malaika Rapolu
1–1
Kylie Collins
(2 last)
- 09 Jun2-0 12-3W
- 27 Jan1-2 10-20L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1631 · Kylie Collins 1508
| Malaika Rapolu | Kylie Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1631 vs 1508).
- Malaika Rapolu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Kylie Collins makes many double faults (8.6/match).
Statistics
| Malaika Rapolu | Kylie Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.2 | 9.2-9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 8.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
H2H · Malaika Rapolu 1 – 1 Kylie Collins (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malaika Rapolu 1–1 Kylie Collins
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/26 W35 Decatur | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/01/20 ITF W15 Cancun | 1-2 | 10-20 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malaika Rapolu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Mia Slama W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Mayu Crossley W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Carolina Gomez W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Lexington Reed W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Lexington Reed W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Ankita Raina W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Kylie Collins
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Ena Koike W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Rebecca Marino W75 Granby |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Slama W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alana Smith WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Fangran Tian W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Jaeda Daniel W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Kylie Collins?
Our model gives 72% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.