Tennis · W15 Rogaska Slatina · 30/07, 11:30
Prediction: Cristina Elena Tiglea vs Mariia Lazarenko
Team pages: Cristina Elena Tiglea · Mariia Lazarenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Cristina Elena Tiglea
Mariia Lazarenko
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Cristina Elena Tiglea
8-2 (W-L)
Mariia Lazarenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cristina Elena Tiglea 1556 · Mariia Lazarenko 1504
| Cristina Elena Tiglea | Mariia Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cristina Elena Tiglea (rating 1556 vs 1504).
- Note: Cristina Elena Tiglea makes many double faults (11.3/match).
- Note: Mariia Lazarenko makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Cristina Elena Tiglea | Mariia Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-7.6 | 10.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 11.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 62.9% | 63.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cristina Elena Tiglea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Petja Drame W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 28/07 | Agnese Gentili W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Madelief Hageman W50 Horb |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W50 Horb |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/04 | Khrystyna Vozniak UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/04 | Lena Peyer UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/04 | Carrington Brown UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/04 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/03 | Danielle Young UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/01 | Rose Biria UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Mariia Lazarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Victoria Borodulina W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Jessica Bertoldo W35 Torino |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 18/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Giulia Maria Sofia Bonaccorso W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Alina Granwehr W35 Nice |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 10/06 | Arina Bulatova W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Berta Miret Avante W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cristina Elena Tiglea vs Mariia Lazarenko?
Our model gives 63% to Mariia Lazarenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.