Tennis · W15 Rogaska Slatina · 30/07, 11:30

Prediction: Ilinca Sagmar vs Eszter Meri

Team pages: Ilinca Sagmar · Eszter Meri

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Ilinca Sagmar Eszter Meri
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ilinca Sagmar 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWWLLWL
Eszter Meri 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ilinca Sagmar 1483 · Eszter Meri 1536
Ilinca SagmarEszter Meri
Our model42%58%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eszter Meri (rating 1483 vs 1536).

Statistics

Ilinca SagmarEszter Meri
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.3-0.9
Games (G-P)9.2-10.910.1-8
Aces0.60.4
Double faults3.32
1st serve %55.1%55.5%
Break %56%50.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ilinca Sagmar

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Gloria Levinsky
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-1 12-9 W
22/07 Giulia Safina Popa
W15 Cluj Napoca
1-2 12-16 L
06/07 Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W35 Buzau
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Galati · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
23/06 Alexia Lavinia Puiac
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 11-6 W
18/06 Iulia Maria Buculei
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
1-2 8-17 L
17/06 Laura Brunkel
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
16/06 Alessandra Anghel
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/05 Elena Korokozidi
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
13/05 Chiara Fornasieri
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Eszter Meri

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Panna Bartha
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-0 12-1 W
19/07 Kali Supova
W100 Amstetten
0-2 6-12 L
13/07 Salma Drugdova
W75 Olomouc
0-2 3-10 L
05/07 Adrienn Nagy
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
04/07 Stefania Bojica
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
03/07 Valeriia Artemeva
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/07 Kali Supova
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
30/06 Maria Golovina
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
10/06 Adrienn Nagy
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 17-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilinca Sagmar vs Eszter Meri?

Our model gives 74% to Eszter Meri, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.