Tennis · W15 Rogaska Slatina · 30/07, 10:00

Prediction: Federica Trevisan vs Nala Kovacic

Team pages: Federica Trevisan · Nala Kovacic

Prediction summary
Winner
79% 21%
Federica Trevisan Nala Kovacic
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Trevisan 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLLWLW
Nala Kovacic 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federica Trevisan 1548 · Nala Kovacic 1424
Federica TrevisanNala Kovacic
Our model67%33%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federica Trevisan (rating 1548 vs 1424).
  • Federica Trevisan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Nala Kovacic makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Federica TrevisanNala Kovacic
Win %70%20%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 22% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-10.5-1.7
Games (G-P)10.5-9.95.9-11.9
Aces0.40.2
Double faults2.34.2
1st serve %57.6%42.8%
Break %56.5%32%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federica Trevisan

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Anna-Lena Ebster
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-0 12-6 W
20/07 Hanna Bougouffa
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 7-12 L
19/07 Monika Wojcik
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-1 11-10 W
17/07 Marie Vogt
W15 Krsko
0-2 5-12 L
16/07 Ella Haavisto
W15 Krsko
2-1 15-11 W
15/07 Megan Heuser
W15 Krsko
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Mariia Drobysheva
W15 Krsko
2-1 12-12 W
25/06 Noemi Basiletti
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Alina Granwehr
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
23/06 Virginia Proietti
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W

Nala Kovacic

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Maria Andrienko
W15 Krsko
0-2 3-12 L
10/06 Marie Mettraux
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
08/06 Eva Kaliadina
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 11-9 W
05/06 Ella Haavisto
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
19/05 Carolina Dibenedetto
W15 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
12/05 Julia Stamatova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
11/05 Aleksandra Mateva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
02/03 Alina Nesmianovych
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
08/09 Ipek Oz
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
07/08 Sylvie Zund
ITF W15 Slovenske Konjice · Clay
1-2 12-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federica Trevisan vs Nala Kovacic?

Our model gives 79% to Federica Trevisan, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.