Tennis · W75 Hechingen · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Nastasja Schunk vs Xinxin Yao
Team pages: Nastasja Schunk · Xinxin Yao
Prediction summary
Winner
Nastasja Schunk
Xinxin Yao
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nastasja Schunk
6-4 (W-L)
Xinxin Yao
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nastasja Schunk
2–1
Xinxin Yao
(3 last)
- 14 Jan2-1 14-9W
- 07 Jan1-2 15-16L
- 13 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nastasja Schunk 1532 · Xinxin Yao 1530
| Nastasja Schunk | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nastasja Schunk 2–1 Xinxin Yao (3).
Statistics
| Nastasja Schunk | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.8 | 10.3-8.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 61.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Nastasja Schunk 2 – 1 Xinxin Yao (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nastasja Schunk 2–1 Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/26 W75 Nonthaburi | 2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/01/26 W75 Nonthaburi | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/05/25 W75 Trnava | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nastasja Schunk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Chelsea Fontenel W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Mathilde Lollia W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Julia Stusek W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Tamara Zidansek W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Xinxin Yao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Dayeon Back W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sophie Triquart W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Diana Martynov W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Isabel Skoog W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Darya Astakhova W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Mai Hontama W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Yufei Ren W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/06 | Reina Goto W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nastasja Schunk vs Xinxin Yao?
Our model gives 66% to Nastasja Schunk, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.