Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 30/07, 15:00
Prediction: Wilson Leite vs Juan Sebastian Osorio
Team pages: Wilson Leite · Juan Sebastian Osorio
Prediction summary
Winner
Wilson Leite
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Wilson Leite
5-5 (W-L)
Juan Sebastian Osorio
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wilson Leite 1478 · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1531
| Wilson Leite | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Sebastian Osorio (rating 1478 vs 1531).
Statistics
| Wilson Leite | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.6 | 12.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wilson Leite
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Filipe Bullamah Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Enzo Lima Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Felipe De Dios Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 03/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Peter Bertran Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejandro Hayen Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Felipe Vazquez M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wilson Leite vs Juan Sebastian Osorio?
Our model gives 55% to Juan Sebastian Osorio, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.