Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 31/07, 16:00
Prediction: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Mateus Alves
Team pages: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos · Mateus Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Mateus Alves
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
7-3 (W-L)
Mateus Alves
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1568 · Mateus Alves 1551
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mateus Alves dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 45% break avg.
Statistics
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.4 | 12.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 31.7% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Mateus Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Francisco Fontes Damorim M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/07 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Fons Van Sambeek Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Nicolas Villalon M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Mateus Alves?
Our model gives 59% to Mateus Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.