Tennis · M25 Gentofte · 30/07, 11:30
Prediction: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Karl Friberg
Team pages: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen · Karl Friberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
Karl Friberg
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
3-7 (W-L)
Karl Friberg
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskar Brostrom Poulsen 1435 · Karl Friberg 1497
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karl Friberg (rating 1435 vs 1497).
- Karl Friberg is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-13.7 | 9.7-10 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Nikola Slavic M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/04 | S Mert Ozdemir Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Karl Friberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Lenn Luemkemann M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Nikola Slavic M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Alen Mujakic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Cyril Vandermeersch M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Karl Friberg?
Our model gives 60% to Karl Friberg, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.