Tennis · W15 Rogaska Slatina · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mariia Drobysheva vs Lavinia Luciano
Team pages: Mariia Drobysheva · Lavinia Luciano
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariia Drobysheva
Lavinia Luciano
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Drobysheva
3-7 (W-L)
Lavinia Luciano
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariia Drobysheva 1469 · Lavinia Luciano 1483
| Mariia Drobysheva | Lavinia Luciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lavinia Luciano makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Mariia Drobysheva | Lavinia Luciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.7 | 8.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 52.4% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariia Drobysheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Arabella Koller W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Melinda Biro W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Camilla Gennaro W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Laura Cilekova W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Krsko |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 07/06 | Weronika Falkowska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Victoria Borodulina W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Lavinia Luciano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Kaja Najzer W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Torino |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Nicole Gadient W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Anamaria Federica Oana W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Simona Ogescu W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Alesia Breaz W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Karla Popovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 26/05 | Nadine Hamrouni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 21/05 | Anna Kubareva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariia Drobysheva vs Lavinia Luciano?
Our model gives 65% to Mariia Drobysheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.