Tennis · W75 Lexington · 30/07, 00:00

Prediction: Carolina Gomez vs Fiona Crawley

Team pages: Carolina Gomez · Fiona Crawley

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Carolina Gomez Fiona Crawley
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Carolina Gomez 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWWLWL
Fiona Crawley 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carolina Gomez 1523 · Fiona Crawley 1517
Carolina GomezFiona Crawley
Our model51%49%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Carolina Gomez makes many double faults (4.7/match).
  • Note: Fiona Crawley makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Carolina GomezFiona Crawley
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.3-1.2
Games (G-P)10.7-8.311.8-11.7
Aces0.90.9
Double faults4.74.8
1st serve %58.4%60.6%
Break %47.1%51.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carolina Gomez

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Victoria Osuigwe
W75 Lexington
1-2 12-10 L
27/07 Katie Lankford
W75 Lexington
2-0 12-4 W
23/07 Malaika Rapolu
W35 Santa Fe
0-2 4-12 L
22/07 Annika Penickova
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-5 W
20/07 Madison Rose
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Madison Brengle
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
0-2 2-11 L
10/06 Dasha Ivanova
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
09/06 Maria Kononova
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
09/11 Alina Shcherbinina
UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
08/11 Alyson Shannon
UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Fiona Crawley

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Yuki Naito
W100 Evansville
1-2 12-18 L
22/07 Himeno Sakatsume
W100 Evansville
2-1 17-9 W
25/06 Alina Korneeva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 2-12 L
24/06 Julia Riera
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 16-14 W
23/06 Himeno Sakatsume
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 18-17 W
16/04 Daria Egorova
W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
14/04 Victoria Hu
W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
27/02 Martyna Kubka
W75 Porto
0-2 5-12 L
26/02 Angela Fita Boluda
W75 Porto
2-0 13-7 W
25/02 Deborah Chiesa
W75 Porto
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carolina Gomez vs Fiona Crawley?

Our model gives 70% to Fiona Crawley, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.