Tennis · W75 Lexington · 29/07, 15:00
Prediction: Rachael Smith vs Savannah Broadus
Team pages: Rachael Smith · Savannah Broadus
Prediction summary
Winner
Rachael Smith
Savannah Broadus
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rachael Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Savannah Broadus
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rachael Smith 1515 · Savannah Broadus 1581
| Rachael Smith | Savannah Broadus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Savannah Broadus (rating 1515 vs 1581).
- Note: Rachael Smith makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Rachael Smith | Savannah Broadus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-8.6 | 11.7-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rachael Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 27/07 | Elena Ecker W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Ana Grubor W75 Granby |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mirka Delaney W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Maya Iacoban W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Gresi Bajri W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 04/05 | Jada Robinson W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Haley Giavara W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Alexandra Vagramov W15 Victoriaville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Savannah Broadus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Taylah Preston W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 06/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Lea Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Fangran Tian W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Katrina Scott W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Peangtarn Plipuech W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Brandy Walker W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Rome |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rachael Smith vs Savannah Broadus?
Our model gives 77% to Savannah Broadus, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.