Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 29/07, 19:00
Prediction: Bastian Malla vs Alvaro Frutos Alonso
Team pages: Bastian Malla · Alvaro Frutos Alonso
Prediction summary
Winner
Bastian Malla
Alvaro Frutos Alonso
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Bastian Malla
7-3 (W-L)
Alvaro Frutos Alonso
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bastian Malla 1538 · Alvaro Frutos Alonso 1502
| Bastian Malla | Alvaro Frutos Alonso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Bastian Malla | Alvaro Frutos Alonso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-7.7 | 11-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 24.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bastian Malla
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Bautista De La Pena M15 Sao Paulo |
1-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Kaue Noatto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Martin A Vergara Del Puerto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 23/04 | Joao Goncalves M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Alvaro Frutos Alonso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Mattia Akcan UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Agustin Mastri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/12 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/12 | Julian Cundom UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/12 | Ramiro Amarilla UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/12 | Alex Santino Nunez Vera UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/12 | Lautaro Agustin Falabella UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bastian Malla vs Alvaro Frutos Alonso?
Our model gives 74% to Bastian Malla, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.