Tennis · WTA Memphis · 30/07, 01:00
Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Renata Zarazua
Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Renata Zarazua
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatjana Maria
Renata Zarazua
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria
8-2 (W-L)
Renata Zarazua
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tatjana Maria
0–1
Renata Zarazua
(1 last)
- 20 Oct0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1611 · Renata Zarazua 1473
| Tatjana Maria | Renata Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatjana Maria (rating 1611 vs 1473).
- Tatjana Maria is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Tatjana Maria 0–1 Renata Zarazua (1).
Statistics
| Tatjana Maria | Renata Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 78% (9) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-6.5 | 8.8-10 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Tatjana Maria 0 – 1 Renata Zarazua (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tatjana Maria 0–1 Renata Zarazua
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/21 ITF W80 Macon | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatjana Maria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Talia Gibson WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Olivia Lincer WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Yulia Putintseva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tereza Valentova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Renata Zarazua
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | McCartney Kessler WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Yuki Naito W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Sloane Stephens W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Mariella Thamm WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Renata Zarazua?
Our model gives 66% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.