Tennis · WTA Memphis · 30/07, 18:00
Prediction: Sloane Stephens vs Darja Vidmanova
Team pages: Sloane Stephens · Darja Vidmanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sloane Stephens
Darja Vidmanova
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sloane Stephens
7-3 (W-L)
Darja Vidmanova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sloane Stephens 1499 · Darja Vidmanova 1559
| Sloane Stephens | Darja Vidmanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darja Vidmanova (rating 1499 vs 1559).
- Sloane Stephens dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 41.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Sloane Stephens | Darja Vidmanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.7 | 12.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sloane Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Lisa Pigato French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Carol Young Suh Lee French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Veronika Podrez WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/04 | Tereza Valentova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Darja Vidmanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Sakura Hosogi W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Carolyn Ansari WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Elena Micic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sloane Stephens vs Darja Vidmanova?
Our model gives 58% to Darja Vidmanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.