Tennis · WTA Memphis · 30/07, 18:00
Prediction: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally
Team pages: Yexin Ma · Caty McNally
Prediction summary
Winner
Yexin Ma
Caty McNally
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yexin Ma
6-4 (W-L)
Caty McNally
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yexin Ma 1524 · Caty McNally 1517
| Yexin Ma | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Yexin Ma | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.5 | 11.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yexin Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Dana Guzman W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Rachel Gailis W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Theadora Rabman W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Francoise Abanda W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Mia Slama W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Momoko Kobori W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Caty McNally
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Xiyu Wang WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Janice Tjen WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally?
Our model gives 68% to Caty McNally, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.