Tennis · WTA Memphis · 29/07, 21:00
Prediction: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elvina Kalieva
Team pages: Zeynep Sonmez · Elvina Kalieva
Prediction summary
Winner
Zeynep Sonmez
Elvina Kalieva
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Zeynep Sonmez
5-5 (W-L)
Elvina Kalieva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zeynep Sonmez 1540 · Elvina Kalieva 1497
| Zeynep Sonmez | Elvina Kalieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zeynep Sonmez (rating 1540 vs 1497).
- Note: Elvina Kalieva makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Zeynep Sonmez | Elvina Kalieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.6 | 11.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 48% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zeynep Sonmez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Cadence Brace WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Ann Li Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Kayla Cross W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Hayu Kinoshita W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Lea Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ella Mcdonald Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zeynep Sonmez vs Elvina Kalieva?
Our model gives 60% to Zeynep Sonmez, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.