Tennis · Challenger Liberec · 30/07, 11:00
Prediction: Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumich
Team pages: Joel Schwaerzler · Martin Krumich
Prediction summary
Winner
Joel Schwaerzler
Martin Krumich
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Joel Schwaerzler
4-6 (W-L)
Martin Krumich
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joel Schwaerzler 1460 · Martin Krumich 1538
| Joel Schwaerzler | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Krumich (rating 1460 vs 1538).
- Martin Krumich is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Joel Schwaerzler | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12 | 12.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 12.1 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 29.4% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joel Schwaerzler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Christopher O'Connell Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Matej Dodig Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/05 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Roman Safiullin French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Clement Chidekh French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Martin Krumich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Francesco Passaro ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumich?
Our model gives 52% to Martin Krumich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.