Tennis · Challenger Liberec · 30/07, 11:00
Prediction: Jan Kumstat vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
Team pages: Jan Kumstat · Frederico Ferreira Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Kumstat
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kumstat
8-2 (W-L)
Frederico Ferreira Silva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Kumstat 1600 · Frederico Ferreira Silva 1487
| Jan Kumstat | Frederico Ferreira Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Kumstat (rating 1600 vs 1487).
- Jan Kumstat dominates on serve: 9 aces and 50.2% break avg.
- Jan Kumstat is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jan Kumstat | Frederico Ferreira Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-8.7 | 11.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 80.8% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Mathys Erhard M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mateus Alves Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Kumstat vs Frederico Ferreira Silva?
Our model gives 60% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.