Tennis · Challenger Liberec · 30/07, 11:00
Prediction: Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
Team pages: Jan Kumstat · Thiago Seyboth Wild
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Kumstat
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kumstat
7-3 (W-L)
Thiago Seyboth Wild
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Kumstat 1568 · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1598
| Jan Kumstat | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan Kumstat dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 49.1% break avg.
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 51.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Jan Kumstat | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.4 | 12.6-9.5 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 80.4% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Mathys Erhard M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mateus Alves Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Peter Makk Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Vincent Marysko Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wild?
Our model gives 60% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.