Tennis · W75 Hechingen · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Diana Martynov vs Federica Urgesi
Team pages: Diana Martynov · Federica Urgesi
Prediction summary
Winner
Diana Martynov
Federica Urgesi
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Diana Martynov
6-4 (W-L)
Federica Urgesi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diana Martynov 1513 · Federica Urgesi 1531
| Diana Martynov | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Diana Martynov | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.8 | 11.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diana Martynov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Diana Marcinkevica W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Emma Sophie Glaser W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Elena Pridankina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Xinxin Yao W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Francesca Parcelli W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Michaela Bayerlova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Kim Chiarello W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Federica Urgesi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diana Martynov vs Federica Urgesi?
Our model gives 66% to Federica Urgesi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.