Tennis · W15 Rogaska Slatina · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Victoria Borodulina vs Mariia Lazarenko
Team pages: Victoria Borodulina · Mariia Lazarenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Victoria Borodulina
Mariia Lazarenko
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Borodulina
6-4 (W-L)
Mariia Lazarenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victoria Borodulina 1527 · Mariia Lazarenko 1487
| Victoria Borodulina | Mariia Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victoria Borodulina (rating 1527 vs 1487).
- Note: Mariia Lazarenko makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Victoria Borodulina | Mariia Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.3 | 10.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 60% | 64.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victoria Borodulina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Kaja Najzer W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Andreea Diana Soare UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Sasha Sakura Stula UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Maria Shmakova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Melis Rasim UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Styliani Roussopoulou UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Saoirse Breen UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Ida Clement UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/07 | Megan Heuser UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Nikola Hlavata UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Mariia Lazarenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Jessica Bertoldo W35 Torino |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 18/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Giulia Maria Sofia Bonaccorso W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Alina Granwehr W35 Nice |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 10/06 | Arina Bulatova W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Berta Miret Avante W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Lena Thomas Iglesias W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victoria Borodulina vs Mariia Lazarenko?
Our model gives 68% to Mariia Lazarenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.