Tennis · W15 Astana · 29/07, 07:00
Prediction: Haruna Arakawa vs Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Team pages: Haruna Arakawa · Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruna Arakawa
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Haruna Arakawa
3-7 (W-L)
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruna Arakawa 1481 · Liel Marlies Rothensteiner 1502
| Haruna Arakawa | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Haruna Arakawa | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12.4 | 8.4-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 52% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Misaki Matsuda ITF W35 Hamamatsu |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/10 | Katherine Sebov ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Nadia Lagaev ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Amelia Rajecki ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Teah Chavez ITF W35 Quebec City |
1-1 | 17-14 | W |
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Linara Bulesheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Aisulu Zholbolat W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Aneta Laboutkova W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Yasmine Douyeb W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Carolina Dibenedetto W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 19/05 | Loes Ebeling Koning W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Barbora Michalkova W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 13/05 | Carolyn Ansari W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Kateryna Bennasar Motilla W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruna Arakawa vs Liel Marlies Rothensteiner?
Our model gives 61% to Haruna Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.