Prediction: Marcello Serafini vs Alexander Gschiel
Team pages: Marcello Serafini · Alexander Gschiel
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcello Serafini
Alexander Gschiel
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marcello Serafini
2-8 (W-L)
Alexander Gschiel
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcello Serafini 1498 · Alexander Gschiel 1421
| Marcello Serafini | Alexander Gschiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcello Serafini (rating 1498 vs 1421).
- Marcello Serafini is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Marcello Serafini makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Marcello Serafini | Alexander Gschiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-13.6 | 8.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcello Serafini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Pierluigi Basile M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Louis Larue M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 23/06 | Henry Bernet M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Manuel Mazza M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 04/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Yacoub Makzoume M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Alexander Gschiel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Pranav Karthik M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Mattias Southcombe M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-9 | L |
| 21/04 | Yassine Smiej M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Zangar Nurlanuly M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Arthur Bellegy M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcello Serafini vs Alexander Gschiel?
Our model gives 63% to Marcello Serafini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.