Tennis · M15 Wels · 29/07, 10:00

Prediction: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Matthias Ujvary

Team pages: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · Matthias Ujvary

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini Matthias Ujvary
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLLLWWWW
Matthias Ujvary 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1443 · Matthias Ujvary 1444
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniMatthias Ujvary
Our model50%50%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (9.8/match).

Statistics

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniMatthias Ujvary
Win %30%30%
Win % · Clay 17% (6) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.40.7-1.4
Games (G-P)10.6-11.37.8-10.7
Aces0.90.8
Double faults9.81.3
1st serve %66.1%55.2%
Break %45.7%39.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
M15 Segrate
1-2 13-18 L
21/07 Filippo Catalano
M15 Segrate
2-0 12-8 W
09/07 Petros Tsitsipas
M15 Lodz
1-2 13-19 L
07/07 Szymon Podczaszy
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-1 W
22/06 Tobia Grandinetti
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
1-2 10-9 L
14/06 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/06 Matteo Sciahbasi
M15 Messina · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
26/05 Matthew William Donald
M25 Grado · ~Clay
1-2 14-16 L
06/05 Michele Mecarelli
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
05/05 Matteo Vavassori
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Matthias Ujvary

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Ali Yazdani
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
21/07 Matthieu Chambonniere
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
23/06 Antonio Voljavec
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Nicolas Jadoun
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
19/05 Khumoyun Sultanov
M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/05 Kim Johannes Niethammer
M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/05 Johan Oscar Lien
M15 Prijedor · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
12/05 Peter Fajta
M15 Prijedor · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
27/04 Hugo Gaston
Challenger Mauthausen · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
19/04 Marcel Volz
UTR Pro Beograd · Clay
1-2 14-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Matthias Ujvary?

Our model gives 53% to Matthias Ujvary, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.