Tennis · M25 Aldershot · 29/07, 11:00
Prediction: Louis Bowden vs William Jansen
Team pages: Louis Bowden · William Jansen
Prediction summary
Winner
Louis Bowden
William Jansen
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Louis Bowden
7-3 (W-L)
William Jansen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Louis Bowden 1579 · William Jansen 1531
| Louis Bowden | William Jansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Louis Bowden (rating 1579 vs 1531).
- Note: Louis Bowden makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Louis Bowden | William Jansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.4 | 13.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Louis Bowden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Matthew Carroll M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Henry Jefferson M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/09 | Luc Koenig UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/09 | Devin Badenhorst UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Daniil Kakhniuk UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Mason Vaughan UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Francisco Salmain UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Luc Koenig UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/08 | Arman Zamani UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
William Jansen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Naoya Honda M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Karim Bennani M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Keaton Hance M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Joshua Peck M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Dev Javia M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Louis Bowden vs William Jansen?
Our model gives 64% to William Jansen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.