Tennis · M15 Dublin · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Milosz Sroka vs Daniel De Jonge
Team pages: Daniel De Jonge
Prediction summary
Winner
Milosz Sroka
Daniel De Jonge
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Milosz Sroka
4-6 (W-L)
Daniel De Jonge
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Milosz Sroka 1460 · Daniel De Jonge 1551
| Milosz Sroka | Daniel De Jonge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel De Jonge (rating 1460 vs 1551).
- Daniel De Jonge dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 49.2% break avg.
- Note: Daniel De Jonge makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Milosz Sroka | Daniel De Jonge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-9.5 | 12.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 26.6% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Milosz Sroka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Dorian Kos M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Georgios Mitalas M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Adam Kaczmarek M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/12 | Georgii Kravchenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/12 | Cedric Stanke M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 12/11 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 04/11 | Conor Gannon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Daniel De Jonge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Emile Hudd Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/05 | Seydina Andre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/05 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Milosz Sroka vs Daniel De Jonge?
Our model gives 80% to Daniel De Jonge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.