Tennis · M25 Aldershot · 29/07, 11:00
Prediction: James Story vs Rhys Lawlor
Prediction summary
Winner
James Story
Rhys Lawlor
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
James Story
5-5 (W-L)
Rhys Lawlor
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Story 1455 · Rhys Lawlor 1462
| James Story | Rhys Lawlor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- James Story dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 40.3% break avg.
Statistics
| James Story | Rhys Lawlor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.6 | 9.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 30.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Story
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03 | Dimitris Azoidis Challenger Hersonissos Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 01/03 | Lui Maxted Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/02 | Niels McDonald M15 Oberhaching · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 30/01 | Lui Maxted M25 Glasgow |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 29/01 | Paul Jubb M25 Glasgow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/01 | Sean Hodkin M25 Glasgow |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 27/01 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Glasgow |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/01 | Milos Karol Challenger Glasgow · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/01 | Daniel Masur Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Finn Bass Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Rhys Lawlor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | James McCabe Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Anton Matusevich M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Ali Habib M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 28/04 | Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/03 | Thijs Boogaard M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Glasgow |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Jelle Sels M25 Sheffield |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Nathan Trouve M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Ryan James Storrie M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Story vs Rhys Lawlor?
Our model gives 62% to James Story, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.