Tennis · W75 Lexington · 28/07, 18:00
Prediction: Dasha Ivanova vs Ayana Akli
Team pages: Dasha Ivanova · Ayana Akli
Prediction summary
Winner
Dasha Ivanova
Ayana Akli
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Dasha Ivanova
5-5 (W-L)
Ayana Akli
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dasha Ivanova 1470 · Ayana Akli 1545
| Dasha Ivanova | Ayana Akli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ayana Akli (rating 1470 vs 1545).
- Ayana Akli is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dasha Ivanova | Ayana Akli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.9 | 11.5-10 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.2% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 61.5% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dasha Ivanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Ashley Lahey W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Ashton Bowers W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/05 | Fernanda Labrana W35 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Carla Markus W35 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/05 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/04 | Didi Bredberg Canizares W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Ayana Akli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Emerson Jones W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Tatum Evans W35 Rome |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dasha Ivanova vs Ayana Akli?
Our model gives 70% to Ayana Akli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.