Tennis · W75 Lexington · 28/07, 18:00
Prediction: Kylie Collins vs Ena Koike
Team pages: Kylie Collins · Ena Koike
Prediction summary
Winner
Kylie Collins
Ena Koike
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kylie Collins
5-5 (W-L)
Ena Koike
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kylie Collins
0–1
Ena Koike
(1 last)
- 24 Jun1-2 12-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kylie Collins 1508 · Ena Koike 1594
| Kylie Collins | Ena Koike | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ena Koike (rating 1508 vs 1594).
- Ena Koike is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kylie Collins 0–1 Ena Koike (1).
- Note: Kylie Collins makes many double faults (8.3/match).
- Note: Ena Koike makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Kylie Collins | Ena Koike | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-9.6 | 12.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 8.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 69% |
| Break % | 36% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Kylie Collins 0 – 1 Ena Koike (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kylie Collins 0–1 Ena Koike
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 W35 Rome | 1-2 | 12-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kylie Collins
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Rebecca Marino W75 Granby |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Slama W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alana Smith WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Fangran Tian W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Jaeda Daniel W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Ena Koike
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Sakura Hosogi W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Kaede Usui W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Isabella Marton W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Victoria Mulville W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kylie Collins vs Ena Koike?
Our model gives 63% to Ena Koike, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.