Tennis · W75 Lexington · 29/07, 16:00
Prediction: Mia Slama vs Malaika Rapolu
Team pages: Mia Slama · Malaika Rapolu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Slama
Malaika Rapolu
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Slama
6-4 (W-L)
Malaika Rapolu
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Slama 1503 · Malaika Rapolu 1573
| Mia Slama | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1503 vs 1573).
- Malaika Rapolu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mia Slama | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.4 | 12.6-7.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 62.6% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Slama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Granby |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Sachia Vickery W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Anastasia Malysheva W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Francoise Abanda W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Caroline Driscoll W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Yexin Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 02/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Marie Vogt W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-13 | L |
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Mayu Crossley W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Carolina Gomez W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Lexington Reed W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Lexington Reed W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Ankita Raina W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Miho Kuramochi W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Slama vs Malaika Rapolu?
Our model gives 71% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.