Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago vs Gustavo Albieri
Team pages: Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago · Gustavo Albieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Gustavo Albieri
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
4-6 (W-L)
Gustavo Albieri
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago 1367 · Gustavo Albieri 1443
| Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago | Gustavo Albieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gustavo Albieri (rating 1367 vs 1443).
- Gustavo Albieri is in better form: 30% recent wins.
- Note: Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago makes many double faults (7.2/match).
- Note: Gustavo Albieri makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago | Gustavo Albieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (9) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-13.4 | 8-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 53.3% | 53.8% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Juan Estevez M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Gabriel Schenekenberg Challenger Santos · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Mario Andre Galarraga M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/04 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Benjamin Torrealba Challenger Campinas · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Wilson Leite Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Breno Braga Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Gustavo Albieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Rafael Tosetto M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Mateo Del Pino M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Luka Bojicic Ono M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Felipe Garla M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/01 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Itajai · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Jefferson Wendler Filho ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Guilherme B Renner ITF M25 Lajeado · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl ITF M25 Salvador |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/10 | Adhithya Ganesan ITF M25 Salvador |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago vs Gustavo Albieri?
Our model gives 61% to Gustavo Albieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.