Tennis · W75 Lexington · 28/07, 16:30
Prediction: Sophie Llewellyn vs Maria Kononova
Team pages: Sophie Llewellyn · Maria Kononova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sophie Llewellyn
Maria Kononova
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sophie Llewellyn
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Kononova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophie Llewellyn 1504 · Maria Kononova 1478
| Sophie Llewellyn | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sophie Llewellyn | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9 | 8.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophie Llewellyn
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Madison Rose W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Celine Simunyu W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Sumvruta Iyengar W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Liv Hovde W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Capucine Jauffret W35 Rome |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sophia Holod W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Paola Lopez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/05 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Maria Kononova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Aisha Merchant W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 22/07 | Kate Fakih W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Anna Grigoreva W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Christasha McNeil W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Mireles W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Diae El Jardi W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophie Llewellyn vs Maria Kononova?
Our model gives 56% to Sophie Llewellyn, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.