Tennis · W75 Lexington · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Lilian Poling vs Lexington Reed
Team pages: Lilian Poling · Lexington Reed
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilian Poling
Lexington Reed
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lilian Poling
3-7 (W-L)
Lexington Reed
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilian Poling 1490 · Lexington Reed 1533
| Lilian Poling | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexington Reed (rating 1490 vs 1533).
- Note: Lilian Poling makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Lilian Poling | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9.8 | 12.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 56% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilian Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Emma Dong W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Emma Dong W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Maria Sara Popa W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Joulia Cristiana Cirstea W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/05 | Esther Adeshina W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Urszula Radwanska W35 Nottingham |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 04/05 | Lara Savic W35 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/05 | Zarah Mughal W35 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/04 | Kolie Allen W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Lexington Reed
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Juliana Lucia Diianni W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Hanna Chang W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Jennifer Jackson W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eunhye Lee W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Zimora Mcknight W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Christasha McNeil W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Elizabeth Ionescu W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/12 | Abigail Rencheli ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilian Poling vs Lexington Reed?
Our model gives 65% to Lexington Reed, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.