Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 28/07, 18:00
Prediction: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Justina Mikulskyte
Team pages: Tilwith Di Girolami · Justina Mikulskyte
Prediction summary
Winner
Tilwith Di Girolami
Justina Mikulskyte
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tilwith Di Girolami
6-4 (W-L)
Justina Mikulskyte
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tilwith Di Girolami 1549 · Justina Mikulskyte 1539
| Tilwith Di Girolami | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Justina Mikulskyte makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Tilwith Di Girolami | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.3 | 10.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tilwith Di Girolami
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Yara Bartashevich W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Romy De Baene W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Lola Giza W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Anastasiya Zaparyniuk W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Briana Szabo W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Jinte de Boer W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Lisa Claeys W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Laetitia Sarrazin W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Chrystal Lopez W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Justina Mikulskyte
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Michaela Bayerlova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Valeria Savinykh W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Maria Golovina W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Liv Boulard W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Carol Zhao Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tilwith Di Girolami vs Justina Mikulskyte?
Our model gives 57% to Justina Mikulskyte, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.