Tennis · W15 Rogaska Slatina · 28/07, 12:30

Prediction: Sara Mikaca vs Lucie Urbanova

Team pages: Sara Mikaca · Lucie Urbanova

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Sara Mikaca Lucie Urbanova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Mikaca 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWWLWL
Lucie Urbanova 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sara Mikaca 1519 · Lucie Urbanova 1480
Sara MikacaLucie Urbanova
Our model56%44%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Sara Mikaca makes many double faults (4.9/match).
  • Note: Lucie Urbanova makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Sara MikacaLucie Urbanova
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11-1.3
Games (G-P)10.1-9.19.9-10.9
Aces1.62.5
Double faults4.94
1st serve %65.6%60.1%
Break %53.1%44.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sara Mikaca

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Jana Otzipka
W100 Amstetten
1-2 12-17 L
19/07 Chiara Semmelmeyer
W100 Amstetten
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Veritsa Yaneva
W15 Krsko
0-2 7-12 L
15/07 Mariia Bergen
W15 Krsko
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Linda Sevcikova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
22/06 Georgina Groth
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
08/06 Laura Mair
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
07/06 Natalie Barbir
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
05/06 Lucie Petruzelova
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
05/06 Stela Dzimovic
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Lucie Urbanova

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
22/07 Aurora Corvi
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
13/07 Lucie Petruzelova
W75 Olomouc
0-2 9-13 L
23/06 Lia Karatancheva
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Aliaksandra Skapets
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Anastasia Safta
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
10/09 Sara Dols
ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
08/09 Jenna Dean
ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
10/08 Marcelina Podlinska
W15 Bielsko Biala
0-2 4-12 L
09/08 Ania Hertel
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sara Mikaca vs Lucie Urbanova?

Our model gives 51% to Sara Mikaca, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.