Tennis · M15 Dublin · 28/07, 12:00
Prediction: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs James McGloughlin
Team pages: Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavlos Tsitsipas
James McGloughlin
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pavlos Tsitsipas
5-5 (W-L)
James McGloughlin
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1528 · James McGloughlin 1504
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | James McGloughlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Pavlos Tsitsipas dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 46% break avg.
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | James McGloughlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12 | 10-12.5 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 65% |
| Break % | 46% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Rodrigo Leal M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Vasco L Prata M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 06/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/07 | David Naharro M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
James McGloughlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Niels Villard M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Dylan Davies UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/07 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Ondrej Valek UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Theo Coats UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Calin Teodor Stirbu UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sergio Ingles Garre UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavlos Tsitsipas vs James McGloughlin?
Our model gives 63% to Pavlos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.