Tennis · W35 Pergamino · 29/07, 15:00
Prediction: Rebeca Pereira vs Francesca Mattioli
Team pages: Rebeca Pereira · Francesca Mattioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebeca Pereira
Francesca Mattioli
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rebeca Pereira
5-5 (W-L)
Francesca Mattioli
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rebeca Pereira
0–1
Francesca Mattioli
(1 last)
- 21 Jan0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebeca Pereira 1461 · Francesca Mattioli 1533
| Rebeca Pereira | Francesca Mattioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Mattioli (rating 1461 vs 1533).
- Francesca Mattioli is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Rebeca Pereira 0–1 Francesca Mattioli (1).
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Rebeca Pereira | Francesca Mattioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.1 | 10.8-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 53.5% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 62.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Rebeca Pereira 0 – 1 Francesca Mattioli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rebeca Pereira 0–1 Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/24 W35 Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebeca Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Berta Bonardi W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Isabela De Mattos Silva W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Helena Bueno W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Romina Ccuno W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sofia Cohen Perovani W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Laura Badia W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/03 | Emily Zornada W35 Junin · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 24/03 | Jaedan Brown W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Francesca Mattioli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alisa Danilova W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Mia Popovic W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 15/07 | Pietra Rivoli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Agustina Soto Neira W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriela Carvalho Bettoni W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Alves W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Noelia Zeballos W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebeca Pereira vs Francesca Mattioli?
Our model gives 76% to Francesca Mattioli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.