Tennis · W75 Hechingen · 28/07, 11:00
Prediction: Katerina Tsygourova vs Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Team pages: Katerina Tsygourova · Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Katerina Tsygourova
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Katerina Tsygourova
9-1 (W-L)
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katerina Tsygourova
1–1
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
(2 last)
- 01 Oct2-0 12-3W
- 23 Mar0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katerina Tsygourova 1595 · Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 1486
| Katerina Tsygourova | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katerina Tsygourova (rating 1595 vs 1486).
Statistics
| Katerina Tsygourova | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.7 | 9.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 64.4% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Katerina Tsygourova 1 – 1 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katerina Tsygourova 1–1 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/24 W35 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/03/23 W15 Le Havre | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katerina Tsygourova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Sina Herrmann W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Francesca Curmi W75 Cordenons |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Arianna Zucchini W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Justine Bretnacher W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Torino |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Marie Weckerle W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Martina Trevisan W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Laura Hietaranta W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Lidia Encheva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Laura Boehner W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/04 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/04 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/02 | Bianca E Barbulescu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Andreea Diana Soare UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katerina Tsygourova vs Arina Gabriela Vasilescu?
Our model gives 76% to Katerina Tsygourova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.