Tennis · W75 Hechingen · 28/07, 11:00
Prediction: Tena Lukas vs Alexa Karatancheva
Team pages: Tena Lukas · Alexa Karatancheva
Prediction summary
Winner
Tena Lukas
Alexa Karatancheva
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tena Lukas
6-4 (W-L)
Alexa Karatancheva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tena Lukas 1479 · Alexa Karatancheva 1492
| Tena Lukas | Alexa Karatancheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Tena Lukas | Alexa Karatancheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.7 | 8.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 53.3% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tena Lukas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Johanna Silva W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Carla Markus W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Julia Avdeeva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Tina Manescu W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Marcelina Podlinska W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mia Ristic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 04/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Alexa Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Salma Drugdova W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Madelief Hageman W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Yoana Moneva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Stefaniya Pushkar W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Ena Ilic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Milica Stosovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 11/04 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Stefania Bojica UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/04 | Sara Victoria Balan UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tena Lukas vs Alexa Karatancheva?
Our model gives 72% to Tena Lukas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.