Tennis · W15 Rogaska Slatina · 28/07, 11:00
Prediction: Agnese Gentili vs Cristina Elena Tiglea
Team pages: Agnese Gentili · Cristina Elena Tiglea
Prediction summary
Winner
Agnese Gentili
Cristina Elena Tiglea
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Agnese Gentili
5-5 (W-L)
Cristina Elena Tiglea
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Agnese Gentili 1491 · Cristina Elena Tiglea 1553
| Agnese Gentili | Cristina Elena Tiglea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cristina Elena Tiglea (rating 1491 vs 1553).
- Note: Cristina Elena Tiglea makes many double faults (10.8/match).
Statistics
| Agnese Gentili | Cristina Elena Tiglea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10 | 11.4-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 10.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 66.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Agnese Gentili
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alesia Breaz W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Natalija Senic W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Anna-Lena Ebster W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Noemi La Cagnina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Elena Korokozidi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Carolin Raschdorf W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Lucia Ros Parres W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Cristina Elena Tiglea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Madelief Hageman W50 Horb |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W50 Horb |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/04 | Khrystyna Vozniak UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/04 | Lena Peyer UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/04 | Carrington Brown UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/04 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/03 | Danielle Young UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/01 | Rose Biria UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/01 | Katerina Mandelikova UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/01 | Skye Madatali UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Agnese Gentili vs Cristina Elena Tiglea?
Our model gives 58% to Cristina Elena Tiglea, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.