Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 28/07, 10:30
Prediction: Berfu Cengiz vs Darya Astakhova
Team pages: Berfu Cengiz · Darya Astakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Berfu Cengiz
Darya Astakhova
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Berfu Cengiz
8-2 (W-L)
Darya Astakhova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Berfu Cengiz 1568 · Darya Astakhova 1499
| Berfu Cengiz | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Berfu Cengiz (rating 1568 vs 1499).
Statistics
| Berfu Cengiz | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-5.7 | 9.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 64.2% | 63% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Berfu Cengiz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Anna Shkutova W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/07 | Adriana Calvo Lopez W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sophia Izabella Ragus W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/07 | Julia Avdeeva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Sophie Triquart W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Denislava Glushkova W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Arina Bulatova W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 29/06 | Francesca Parcelli W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Darya Astakhova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Xinxin Yao W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Chloe Paquet WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Lisa Pigato WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Berfu Cengiz vs Darya Astakhova?
Our model gives 52% to Berfu Cengiz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.