Tennis · Challenger Liberec · 28/07, 13:00
Prediction: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Gonzalo Bueno
Team pages: Pablo Martinez Gomez · Gonzalo Bueno
Prediction summary
Winner
Pablo Martinez Gomez
Gonzalo Bueno
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Martinez Gomez
7-3 (W-L)
Gonzalo Bueno
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pablo Martinez Gomez 1556 · Gonzalo Bueno 1499
| Pablo Martinez Gomez | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Martinez Gomez (rating 1556 vs 1499).
Statistics
| Pablo Martinez Gomez | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.4 | 10.4-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pablo Martinez Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Peter Fajta Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Denia |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kevin Edengren M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Gonzalo Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tiago Pereira ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Francisco Rocha ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Igor Marcondes ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Gonzalo Bueno?
Our model gives 57% to Gonzalo Bueno, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.