Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Francesca Pace vs Tatiana Pieri
Team pages: Francesca Pace · Tatiana Pieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Pace
Tatiana Pieri
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Pace
4-6 (W-L)
Tatiana Pieri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Pace 1452 · Tatiana Pieri 1492
| Francesca Pace | Tatiana Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatiana Pieri (rating 1452 vs 1492).
- Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Pace | Tatiana Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.2 | 10-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 57% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 64.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Eva Vedder WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 02/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Victoria Bosio WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Dalila Spiteri W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 03/06 | Luisina Giovannini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tatiana Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Mia Ristic W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Verena Meliss W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 12/07 | Irina Fetecau WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Andreea Prisacariu W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Nika Radisic W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Diletta Cherubini WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Alina Granwehr W35 Nice |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Diana Martynov W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Amandine Hesse W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Pace vs Tatiana Pieri?
Our model gives 52% to Francesca Pace, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.